"The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable" by Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a philosophical book that delves into the concept of events that are rare, unpredictable, and have a significant impact. The book, published by Penguin in 2010, challenges traditional notions of probability and knowledge, arguing that rare events, or "Black Swans," are critical in shaping our world. Written in English and available in paperback format, this thought-provoking book has become a popular read for those interested in philosophy, epistemology, and the theory of knowledge.
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Publisher: Macat; 1st edition (5 July 2017). And what is more when the ideas of creative thinkers are convincing they can reshape an entire topic and change the orthodoxy for good. As a result Taleb concludes improbability is not a reason to act as if a possible event does not matter.
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Looks new. Unread. Updated edition.
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A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected Guardian Like the conversation of a raconteur ... hugely enjoyable - compelling Financial Times It has altered modern thinking The Times Confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot Sunday Times The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works -- Daniel Kahneman, author of Thinking, Fast and Slow Great fun... brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling -- Stephen J.
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Why are all forecasters con-artists?. Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.
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A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected Guardian Like the conversation of a raconteur ... hugely enjoyable - compelling Financial Times It has altered modern thinking The Times Confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot Sunday Times The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works -- Daniel Kahneman, author of Thinking, Fast and Slow Great fun... brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling -- Stephen J.
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The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a New Section: "On Robustness and Fragility" (Paperback or Softback). Your source for quality books at reduced prices. Condition Guide.
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