Why are all forecasters con-artists?. Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.
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A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected Guardian Like the conversation of a raconteur ... hugely enjoyable - compelling Financial Times It has altered modern thinking The Times Confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot Sunday Times The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works -- Daniel Kahneman, author of Thinking, Fast and Slow Great fun... brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling -- Stephen J.
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Book
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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Taleb, Nassim Nicholas | Book | condition good. Action & Adventure. second hand – good. We try to assess the precise condition of the products as objectively as possible.
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Book
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In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Talebshows in a playful way that black swan events explain almost everything aboutour world. A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was.
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The latter is even advised to skip whole chapters which the author deems too technically specific and unnecessary for an overall understanding of his ideas. by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Author Nassim Nicholas Taleb.
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